Sunday, February 24, 2013

If I Picked The Oscars

Best Picture:

"Beasts of the Southern Wild"
"Silver Linings Playbook"
"Zero Dark Thirty"
"Les Miserables"
"Life of Pi"
"Django Unchained"

WILL WIN:   "Argo"
SHOULD WIN:  "Les Miserables"

"Lincoln" has best chance to upset "Argo."  Don't care that Affleck is not nominated.  It will win, in part for that exact reason.

Best Supporting Actor:

Christoph Waltz                "Django Unchained"
Philip Seymour Hoffman  "The Master"
Robert DeNiro                   "Silver Linings Playbook"
Alan Arkin                         "Argo"
Tommy Lee Jones              "Lincoln"

WILL WIN:                        Tommy Lee Jones
SHOULD WIN:                  Christoph Waltz    (followed closely by Hoffman)

Best Supporting Actress: 

Sally Field                          "Lincoln"
Anne Hathaway                  "Les Miserables"
Jacki Weaver                      "Silver Linings Playbook"
Helen Hunt                         "The Sessions"
Amy Adams                       "The Master"

WILL WIN:                        Anne Hathaway
SHOULD WIN:                  Anne Hathaway  (followed closely by Sally Field)
Best Director:

Steven Spielberg                 "Lincoln"
Michael Haneke                  "Amour"
Benh Zeitlin                        "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
David O. Russell                 "Silver Linings Playbook"
Ang Lee                               "Life of Pi"

WILL WIN                         Steven Spielberg
SHOULD WIN                   Ang Lee  (Actually anyone but Spielberg)

Best Actor:                         

Daniel Day Lewis             "Lincoln"
Denzel Washington           "Flight"
Hugh Jackman                   "Les Miserables"
Bradley Cooper                 "Silver Linings Playbook"
Joaquin Phoenix                "The Master"                  

WILL WIN                         Daniel Day Lewis 
SHOULD WIN                   Daniel Day Lewis

Jackman seems to be the dark horse here for having a shot at an upset.  I'd be okay with that.  But I was quite impressed with Bradley Cooper.  Did anyone else notice he would do a very subtle DeNiro impression at times?  As if he was playing DeNiro's son?  He impressed me and I hope its not a one time thing

Best Actress:                      

Naomi Watts                      "The Impossible"
Jessica Chastain                 "Zero Dark Thirty"
Jennifer Lawrence             "Silver Linings Playbook"
Emmanuelle Riva              "Amour"
Quvenhane Wallis             "Beasts of the Southern Wild"

WILL WIN                         Jennifer Lawrence
SHOULD WIN                   Emmanuelle Riva

Chastain seems to have the best shot besides Lawrence.  But I think the ridiculous backlash against "Zero Dark Thirty," might hurt her. 

Best Original Screenplay: 

Quentin Tarantino:                                          "Django Unchained"
 Michael Haneke                                             "Amour"  
John Gatins                                                     "Flight"
Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola               "Moonrise Kingdom" 
Zero Dark Theory                                            "Mark Boal"

WILL WIN                          Quentin Tarantino
SHOULD WIN                   Anyone but Gatins feels worthy

Why Tarantino won't win:  Too rough of material
Why he will:  Oscar voters are getting younger. The material is controversial, but QT is overdue.  I think the controversy of "Zero Dark Theory," will hurt Boal just enough

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Chris Terrio                                     "Argo"
Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin         "Beasts of the Southern Wild"    
David Magee                                   "Life of Pi"    
Tony Kushner                                 "Lincoln"
David O. Russell                             "Silver Linings Playbook"

WILL WIN                                      Tony Kushner
SHOULD WIN                                Magee followed by Russell 

Best Cinematography                      

WILL WIN                 "Life of Pi"    (because people don't understand Cinematography)   But hey it looks great.  No tragedy

Best Original Song

WILL WIN                 Adele  "SkyFall"


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